Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.004118 0.004330 0.004548 0.004788 0.005047 0.005316 0.005618
2024-12-29 0.003678 0.003988 0.004320 0.004702 0.005132 0.005602 0.006159
2025-01-05 0.003401 0.003762 0.004159 0.004630 0.005178 0.005798 0.006559
2025-01-12 0.003237 0.003639 0.004091 0.004642 0.005299 0.006065 0.007035
2025-01-19 0.003004 0.003419 0.003893 0.004480 0.005196 0.006049 0.007159
2025-01-26 0.002903 0.003343 0.003854 0.004501 0.005305 0.006286 0.007597
2025-02-02 0.002868 0.003342 0.003902 0.004623 0.005540 0.006685 0.008257
2025-02-09 0.002749 0.003233 0.003811 0.004567 0.005543 0.006786 0.008529
2025-02-16 0.002665 0.003161 0.003762 0.004558 0.005603 0.006959 0.008903
2025-02-23 0.002580 0.003083 0.003701 0.004529 0.005633 0.007089 0.009221
2025-03-02 0.002536 0.003055 0.003700 0.004577 0.005764 0.007360 0.009748
2025-03-09 0.002461 0.002985 0.003642 0.004545 0.005785 0.007477 0.010058
2025-03-16 0.002383 0.002910 0.003577 0.004503 0.005792 0.007580 0.010361
2025-03-23 0.002293 0.002817 0.003485 0.004422 0.005742 0.007598 0.010537
2025-03-30 0.002216 0.002737 0.003407 0.004356 0.005709 0.007637 0.010744
2025-04-06 0.002172 0.002700 0.003386 0.004367 0.005784 0.007837 0.011213
2025-04-13 0.002072 0.002584 0.003254 0.004218 0.005621 0.007673 0.011088
2025-04-20 0.002038 0.002558 0.003241 0.004237 0.005704 0.007883 0.011583
2025-04-27 0.002040 0.002578 0.003294 0.004350 0.005930 0.008323 0.012488
2025-05-04 0.001984 0.002519 0.003235 0.004298 0.005905 0.008367 0.012723
2025-05-11 0.001946 0.002483 0.003206 0.004290 0.005945 0.008518 0.013150
2025-05-18 0.001904 0.002439 0.003166 0.004263 0.005956 0.008618 0.013493
2025-05-25 0.001887 0.002430 0.003173 0.004307 0.006077 0.008906 0.014195